Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.932243 4.200423 4.486437 4.815671 5.186094 5.592233 6.074328
2025-09-21 3.444346 3.807511 4.217763 4.721112 5.330032 6.053740 6.996286
2025-09-28 3.158571 3.569667 4.051976 4.670157 5.457862 6.452737 7.848446
2025-10-05 2.969751 3.414396 3.951847 4.665536 5.615436 6.880590 8.781063
2025-10-12 2.859426 3.338564 3.933584 4.750193 5.883437 7.474692 10.042252
2025-10-19 2.761332 3.266570 3.908777 4.816081 6.123681 8.053037 11.393599
2025-10-26 2.656990 3.176986 3.850759 4.826150 6.278402 8.517799 12.658998
2025-11-02 2.534500 3.054864 3.738919 4.747815 6.288560 8.749849 13.558727
2025-11-09 2.411084 2.924211 3.606396 4.627448 6.218839 8.835788 14.193462
2025-11-16 2.316322 2.826975 3.513692 4.557176 6.218406 9.035699 15.107878
2025-11-23 2.262581 2.782395 3.491216 4.588474 6.382215 9.546541 16.850560
2025-11-30 2.208768 2.734671 3.460809 4.604023 6.519310 10.027041 18.695939
2025-12-07 2.109149 2.621013 3.332628 4.463511 6.384409 9.978704 19.229547
2025-12-14 2.031532 2.535672 3.242293 4.377918 6.339337 10.107750 20.320538
2025-12-21 1.971094 2.471972 3.180285 4.332733 6.360436 10.374465 21.933668
2025-12-28 1.925987 2.428182 3.145415 4.328638 6.454896 10.813150 24.327637
2026-01-04 1.904274 2.416920 3.158362 4.403528 6.703816 11.645072 28.680272
2026-01-11 1.879638 2.400155 3.161670 4.461744 6.926627 12.467412 33.802632
2026-01-18 1.844717 2.366785 3.137509 4.470636 7.051814 13.077365 38.689402
2026-01-25 1.793808 2.307956 3.071074 4.401425 7.010174 13.243893 41.509163
2026-02-01 1.737091 2.238843 2.986027 4.294911 6.881920 13.155202 42.825960
2026-02-08 1.693056 2.187534 2.927412 4.232631 6.842370 13.309939 45.947887
2026-02-15 1.670959 2.168497 2.919268 4.260378 6.998247 14.060223 54.535687